Alianza Lima vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 2
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
RAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
ALD
3 - 4
RAC
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
RAC
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
RAC
18%
23%
60%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |