Alianza Lima vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
0 - 3
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
26%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 0
SCI
49%
27%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
BAH
1 - 1
PAL
38%
31%
31%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |