Alianza Lima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFE
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
UGA
0 - 0
ALI
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
2 - 3
ALI
64%
19%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
1 - 0
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 0
UGA
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 12 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
UGA
1 - 1
MIL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
4 - 0
UGA
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
1 - 0
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1976 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |