Alianza Lima vs Millonarios analysis


73	ELO	75
-2%	Tilt	0%
471º	General ELO ranking	348º
4º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

56.3%

Alianza Lima

20.2%

Draw

23.5%

Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

56.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%

20.2%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.4%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

20.2%

23.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

-2%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches