Alianza Lima vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1976 |
CRZ
7 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 4
CRZ
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFE
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
LIG
1 - 3
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
CUE
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 2
LIG
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIG
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |