Alianza Lima vs León de Huánuco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
4 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
SBO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
ALI
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
HUA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
León de Huánuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
LEO
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPC
67%
22%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEO
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 1
LEO
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |