Alianza Lima vs León de Huánuco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 0
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 2
ALI
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
León de Huánuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 2
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 0
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
LEO
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 1
LEO
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |