Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
UTC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
GAR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UTC
3 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 2
ARS
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |