Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 4
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
ALI
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 1
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |