Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |