Alianza Lima vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
0 - 4
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
4 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 2
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAM
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 3
LEO
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |