Alianza Lima vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 3
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
TOT
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
JAG
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JAG
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |