Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 4
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
AYA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AYA
0 - 3
MEL
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |