Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
CIE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HUA
3 - 2
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 2
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 2
AYA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 0
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AYA
3 - 2
CIE
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |