Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |