Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 2
GAL
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
0 - 4
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
0 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |