Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 2
ALI
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
ALI
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 1
CIE
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
AYA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
AYA
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 3
HUA
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |