Alianza Lima vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
VAS
1 - 2
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
2 - 0
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
GUA
4 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |