Alianza Lima vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
GRE
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
POR
2 - 0
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GRE
2 - 2
GOI
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
GOI
1 - 3
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |