Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 2
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 4
AYA
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUR
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 0
MEL
48%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 2
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 3
MEL
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |