Alianza Lima vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
ALI
2 - 1
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1994 |
EME
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
3 - 0
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1994 |
EME
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
EME
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
EME
0 - 1
BSC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 0
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |