Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
ALI
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
5 - 0
SAM
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
ALI
29%
29%
43%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
CAN
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 2
UTC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
HUA
2 - 1
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
6 - 2
MUN
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 3
SPC
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |