Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 1
AYA
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 1
AYA
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 3
MUN
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 1
SPC
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 1
UTC
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |