Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALI
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCS
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 0
UTC
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |