Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
3 - 1
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALI
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
0 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
3 - 1
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
2 - 2
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIR
61%
18%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |