Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 1
ALI
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 2
ALI
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIR
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 0
LAR
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 0
LAR
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |