Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 1
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |