Alianza Lima vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
6 - 1
JWI
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
VEL
2 - 0
CRZ
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CRZ
1 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
POR
3 - 0
CRZ
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |