Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
18%
22%
61%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
SBO
2 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
SRP
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
BIN
1 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
COM
0 - 3
HUA
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |