Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 3
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
COM
5 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
COM
5 - 1
HUA
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |