Alianza Lima vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIV
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALI
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1998 |
CAU
2 - 2
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
RIV
4 - 1
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1998 |
COL
0 - 2
GYT
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
RAC
0 - 1
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |