Alianza Lima vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
CAU
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
LIG
3 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 0
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 4
ALI
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 1
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
COQ
3 - 3
COB
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COB
2 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
COB
0 - 2
LIG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |