Alianza Lima vs CNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
TOT
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 1
CNI
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 3
CIE
47%
28%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
CNI
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
CNI
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 1
GAL
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |