Alianza Lima vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
EME
2 - 2
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 1
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 3
CCP
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 2
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CCP
3 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
SLO
4 - 2
CCP
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |