Alianza Lima vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
5 - 1
OPE
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1978 |
STR
1 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 4
ALI
52%
21%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
CCP
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |