Alianza Lima vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
3 - 1
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALI
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1964 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIL
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
0 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
0 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |