Alianza Lima vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
ATP
3 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ATP
2 - 2
COR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COT
2 - 1
ATP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |