Alianza Lima vs Atletico Minero Matucana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 3
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Minero Matucana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 1
BOL
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
CIE
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |