Alianza FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
16%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
7º
21
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IND
5 - 1
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
AFC
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARA
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 3
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
UME
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SMI
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
UME
74%
17%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |