Alianza FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
5º
11
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
AZU
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 2
AFC
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
AFC
25%
29%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
TAU
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
COS
2 - 2
UME
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SMI
21%
29%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
AMA
19%
27%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |