Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
37%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
5º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
AFC
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
AFC
40%
31%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
AFC
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
TAU
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
TAU
48%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 1
SMI
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMI
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |