Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 1
AFC
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
SUN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
AFC
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
AFC
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
SMI
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 1
SFF
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
SMI
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |