Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 2
VER
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 2
ARA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 2
AFC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
AFC
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 2
SMI
15%
19%
66%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
SMI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 2
AMA
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |