Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
AFC
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
AFC
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 4
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
TAU
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
SMI
26%
28%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
SMI
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |