Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFF
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
AFC
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 1
TAU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 0
AMA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
SMI
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |