Alianza FC vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
AFC
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 2
VER
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 2
ARA
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAU
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
NAC
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
SMI
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |