Alianza FC vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 3
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARA
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
TAU
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
AMA
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SFF
3 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |