Alianza FC vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 3
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
GEM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
COS
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 3
ARA
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 0
GEM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
GEM
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GEM
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 0
GEM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |