Alianza FC vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SMI
0 - 2
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
CHO
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
ARA
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
AMA
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 1
GEM
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 0
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |