Alianza FC vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 1
AFC
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 0
AFC
7%
14%
79%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GEM
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 2
CHO
27%
31%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
GEM
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 8
GEM
8%
17%
75%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SFF
0 - 1
GEM
59%
24%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |